Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Market Update


The housing market continues its slow recovery without the aid of the now expired tax credit. Sales are slower but growing, and prices remain on par with last year’s levels. Interest rates also hit a new historic low, a major factor in helping keep mortgage payments low, which is expected to spur sales.

The economy shone a bit brighter in September. It grew faster during the second quarter than expected, and companies continued to hire. Experts believe there is now less risk of a double-dip recession. Now, the Federal Reserve Board’s challenge is not if the economy will grow but how fast.

Experts anticipate both the economy and the housing market will continue their path on the way to a complete recovery. This march back up provides excellent opportunities: an ample selection of homes, affordable prices, and historically low interest rates.

Home sales began to rebound in August. This increase follows a large drop caused by the expiration of the Federal tax credit in July. Sales are expected to slowly rebound as the market finds its footing without leaning on the government for support. First-time buyers fell from 38% to 31% in August from July. Over the same time period, investors rose from 19% to 21%. Overall home prices fell slightly in August compared to July, but major markets appear to be bucking trend as the Case-Shiller Index shows an increase of 3.2%.

Distressed properties accounted for a slightly larger proportion of sales in August compared to July. The discount in distressed properties helps explain the slight decline in August prices.

Total inventory came back below 4 million to 3.98 million in August, representing 11.6 months of inventory. While still at a relatively high level, months of inventory dropped by nearly a month in August from the 12.5 month’s supply in July.

Housing remains highly affordable, and prospective home buyers stand to benefit from the lowest mortgage rates in decades, as well as advantageous home prices. The ratio now stands at 14.9%, growing closer to the record of 13.6%.
Source: National Association of Realtors

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